3.1 Bayesian approach
In the Bayesian approach we assign costs to our decisions; in particular we introduce positive numbers
,
, where
is the cost incurred by choosing hypothesis
when hypothesis
is true. We define the conditional risk
of a decision rule
for each hypothesis as
where
is the probability distribution of the data when hypothesis
is true. Next we assign
probabilities
and
to the occurrences of hypothesis
and
, respectively. These
probabilities are called a priori probabilities or priors. We define the Bayes risk as the overall average cost
incurred by the decision rule
:
Finally we define the Bayes rule as the rule that minimizes the Bayes risk
.